Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1216.594906 1374.896352 1548.486088 1753.372248 1989.103140 2252.425163 2569.680482
2025-12-14 939.929574 1144.981118 1389.485311 1704.194497 2100.920730 2587.567236 3234.519030
2025-12-21 776.785301 994.853142 1269.958793 1645.679225 2150.360834 2811.749294 3755.540635
2025-12-28 705.466953 941.813211 1254.326640 1703.026920 2339.315421 3222.248210 4562.981640
2026-01-04 640.585292 885.531259 1222.520154 1727.440639 2477.680808 3571.885255 5327.071189
2026-01-11 584.281380 832.608534 1186.317252 1736.625856 2589.040572 3889.212219 6081.457165
2026-01-18 536.925146 786.226899 1152.583116 1742.356717 2691.291982 4199.680827 6863.949693
2026-01-25 506.276121 760.672301 1145.759908 1786.255084 2855.242121 4623.989506 7893.852011
2026-02-01 477.316442 734.289128 1134.033473 1819.324597 3002.849295 5036.400736 8962.168989
2026-02-08 449.027285 705.915984 1115.706660 1838.215523 3126.498290 5420.033480 10033.546572
2026-02-15 424.294487 680.778571 1099.745696 1858.370413 3252.924314 5821.864145 11199.633208
2026-02-22 405.096149 662.900642 1093.809786 1894.558086 3411.176495 6300.646849 12594.263692
2026-03-01 372.468992 620.094856 1042.411378 1845.339430 3406.889801 6472.690821 13393.009388
2026-03-08 342.666521 579.842513 992.133827 1793.257683 3391.303102 6620.856415 14167.722037
2026-03-15 314.518099 540.235070 939.569672 1731.314411 3348.332522 6705.869135 14812.037977
2026-03-22 306.261388 535.600687 950.036495 1792.021552 3561.719242 7360.089357 16907.413751
2026-03-29 293.953073 522.481955 943.444837 1817.869716 3704.587388 7879.427540 18772.263046
2026-04-05 280.627178 506.381623 929.735584 1827.595267 3813.329052 8335.991205 20564.710894
2026-04-12 267.937230 490.498907 915.066176 1833.663436 3914.304244 8787.888435 22433.327746
2026-04-19 260.659855 484.488531 919.270941 1880.150096 4112.717701 9502.089350 25172.497866
2026-04-26 252.594558 476.291863 918.331276 1915.174639 4288.406181 10185.723200 27972.463511
2026-05-03 243.542027 465.440036 911.031870 1935.184355 4430.296259 10803.832164 30713.925613
2026-05-10 235.201262 455.422268 904.637619 1956.534461 4578.030260 11459.591054 33722.373264